After a choppy summer, mill curtailments have spread across multiple regions—tightening supply in key softwood lines used for custom homes (DF/Hem-Fir in the Pacific Northwest and SYP in the South) and re-introducing price volatility.
Who’s curtailed or closed?
- Interfor – Announced system-wide production cuts through year-end by reducing hours, reconfiguring shifts, and extending maintenance/holiday downtime; this follows the indefinite closure of its Philomath, OR mill in 2024 (≈220 MMBF). 
- Canfor – Permanently closing Estill and Darlington, SC sawmills (effective Aug 2025), citing persistently weak conditions and sustained losses. 
- West Fraser – Indefinite curtailment at Lake Butler, FL (announced Sept 2024), trimming U.S. capacity by ~110 MMBF. 
- Weyerhaeuser – Indefinite curtailment at New Bern, NC (July 2024), halting operations due to market and site-specific factors. 
- Hampton Lumber – Banks, OR sawmill closed indefinitely (Jan 2024). 
These moves have already nudged futures and cash sentiment: the September round of curtailments helped stabilize lumber prices after a sharp pullback.
Why now? Contributing factors
- Start–stop housing demand & rates 
 Higher-for-longer borrowing costs cooled single-family starts and R&R, compressing mill margins and prompting downtime. (Reflected in company commentary tied to weak lumber realizations and demand softness.)
- Fiber/log costs & regional log supply 
 Several curtailments explicitly referenced high fiber costs (Southeast) and constrained PNW log availability (impacting DF/Hem-Fir appearance grades).
- Trade policy overhang 
 Duties on Canadian imports rose year-over-year, and a recent Section 232 national-security action on wood products added fresh uncertainty about future import costs—both supportive of U.S. price floors when domestic output is trimmed.
- Operational resets 
 Producers are increasingly using planned curtailments (reduced hours, extended breaks) to balance inventories and cash flow rather than run full-tilt into weak realizations.
What it means for custom-home builders & luxury specs
- Premium DF/Hem-Fir & timbers (PNW) 
 With PNW curtailments/closures (Philomath, Banks), expect longer lead times and firmer basis on kiln-dried, tight-grain and appearance grades (panels, soffits, paneling, beams). Substitution toward imported clears and specialty cedar/hemlock is likely where specs allow.
- Southern Yellow Pine (SYP) framing (Southeast) 
 Closures/curtailments in SC, FL, NC remove local supply slack. Result: price chop and occasional pockets of shortage on higher grades/MSR and wider widths—especially where distribution relies on those specific mills.
- Pricing & procurement 
 After falling into late summer, prices firmed on the curtailment headlines. For Q4 bid work, plan for wider spreads between commodity #2&Btr and premium clears/MSR, and pad schedules on specialty profiles.
